PETER DU TOIT

As you can see sea surface temperatures have been in record territory since June 18.

What happens in the oceans doesn’t stay in the oceans

Brace for impact.

Dispatch from the frontlines of the #ClimateCrisis

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⚠️ Prudent risk management requires that you understand, with as much clarity as possible, what impacts El Niño events have on the area where you live.

Then prepare as best you can for these impacts.

#EarlyWarnings #ElNino #Adaptation
https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-strongest-el-nino-ever

If you’ve played football competitively then you know you can come off the boil as France did tonight.

Spain on the other had a superb game – masterclass really! Well done to them.

The best team won on the night.

From the frontlines of the #ClimateCrisis
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp9ld3p324jo

This tragic story highlights the need for a personal Resilience Plan.

– Understand the risks where you live.
– Have a plan to mitigate against those.

Here is something I shared for our area: https://peterdutoit.com/are-you-fire-ready/

For the most part, we are completely & utterly unprepared for ~1.5ºC of heating. We underestimate the high risks at this level of heating.

We are certain, given our current non-emergency approach to curbing fossil fuel burning, that 2ºC will be passed. What happens then?
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2026/jul/11/uk-pupils-struggle-extreme-heat-schools-classrooms

Pay attention to the instruments!!!

What happens in the oceans doesn’t stay in the oceans!

Brace for impact.

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ICYMI from the Climate Prediction Centre today:

“There is an 81% chance of a very strong El Niño during October-December that would rank among the largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950.”

Full update here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

As climate chaos continues to rock Europe, here is a snapshot of climate risk assessments:

From: Climate resilience in Europe, 2025 — progress and challenges https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/climate-resilience-in-europe-2025-progress-and-challenges

#ClimateCrisis #Adaptation

NEW from C3S:

June was 1.39°C above the estimated 1850-1900 pre-industrial average for the month.

The average global temperature for the last 12 months (July 2025 to June 2026) was 1.43°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.

Details: https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-june-2026

Climate Progress Top 10:

1. Estonia
2. Luxembourg
3. United Kingdom
4. Finland
5. Netherlands
6. Germany
7. France
8. Norway
9. Sweden
10. Austria

Of course the US is slipping, intent on staying the greatest atmospheric polluter of all time.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/jul/08/climate-change-crisis-europe-us

I cannot overemphasise the need to make sure that you are aware of any early warning systems that are available in your area.

We are in the age of fossil fuel driven climate chaos and being aware of early warnings is absolutely essential for safety.

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The closer we look the worse it gets.
https://phys.org/news/2026-07-massive-calving-episode-greenland-foreshadow.html

From the climate crisis engine room.

This right here, and our choice not to stop this pollution, is what is driving the ever increasing global climate chaos.

Globally the greatest polluting sectors:

1. Electricity generation with coal, oil & gas
2. Transportation powered by oil

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Echoing a global sentiment:

“I can think of only one thing more satiric than the only country on Earth that still routinely makes fun of soccer, fixing the world’s biggest soccer tournament in their own favour.

That would be fixing it and losing anyway.”

😅

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/soccer/article-belgium-vs-usa-world-cup-trump-infantino-balogun/

First come the heatwaves then the fires.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/06/wildfires-southern-europe-evacuations-tour-de-france-portugal-spain-greece-heatwave

FIFA caves

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At

~1.5°C of heating
~427 ppm CO2

Stranded assets are looming large on the horizon.

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ICYMI from the WMO:

Source: https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/el-nino-forecast-intensify-increasing-likelihood-of-extreme-weather

In our area the insurance industry, as elsewhere, is beginning to respond to climate risk.

More on this here: peterdutoit.com/when…

#ClimateCrisis #ClimateRisk