As we see images of floods ravaging many parts of the globe (pictured Bavaria, Germany) it’s important to remember this observation from research published in November of 2023:

“We find that the rates at which precipitation extremes are projected to scale with global temperatures underestimate those observed historically in nearly all climate models. This is a concerning finding, indicating that there is risk of larger increases in precipitation extremes than those currently projected by models, particularly in terms of their frequency.”

We are completely unprepared.