As we continue to heat, physical environments are becoming unstable globally. We see this manifest in extreme heatwaves, extreme wildfire events and more powerful storms. In the Garden Route District Climate Change Adaptation Strategy report one of the findings was that at higher global...
Adaptation Insights
Climate Intelligence Brief | August 2026
Reading time: 5 minutes The Headline Confidence has increased that the global climate system is moving into an exceptionally strong El Niño event, with multiple independent forecasting centers now converging on a similar outlook. At the same time, the Indian Ocean Dipole has moved decisively...
Climate Intelligence Brief | July 2026
Reading time: 5 minutes The Headline Confidence is increasing that the global climate system is aligning toward a significant El Niño event, with multiple independent forecasting centres now converging on a similar outlook. While uncertainty remains around the magnitude of regional impacts, the...
Are you fire ready?
With latest news landing that the current developing El Niño could be the most extreme on record, it is important to revisit fire safety plans. First the El Niño update: https://bsky.app/profile/zekehausfather.com/post/3mqjykq6sqe2m El Niño events, especially very strong ones do increase fire...
Data helps with risk mitigation
Prof Eliot Jacobson published this graphic a few days ago: We can be extremely thankful for this data we as it helps us with risk mitigation. Have you heard of the Clausius-Clapeyron relationship? This is one of the most robust findings in atmospheric physics (you can read more about it here)...
When climate risk becomes an insurance risk on the Garden Route
The central message is straightforward: repeated extreme-weather losses are changing how insurers and reinsurers assess the Garden Route.
Knysna’s new climate reality
Berkeley Earth have just released a powerful new tool called Synthesis by Berkeley Earth which they describe as a new city-level climate intelligence platform combining our high-resolution observational record with forward-looking warming projections for more than 8,000 locations worldwide...

Climate induced collapse – a timeline
Earlier this month the Western Cape Government announced that the initial storm damage assesment following the recent extreme weather events had reached a staggering R9 billion, R1 billion of which was in the Garden Route District Municipality
Akkerkloof and the coming El Niño risk window
The last few weeks have revealed that Knysna water security is multifaceted! Obviously it is about having enough rainfall, but another real challenge became visible which is can the town reliably capture, move, store and distribute water during increasingly unstable conditions. Understanding this...
Western Cape Storms: The urgent need for climate adaptation
Fallen trees damaged buildings at Beaumont Primary School in Somerset West. (Photo Credit) Since Tuesday, May 5, 2026, the Western Cape has been battered by a series of devastating storms, leaving a trail of destruction and human suffering. The impacts have been severe and widespread: Loss of Life...