PETER DU TOIT

Musings from the Southern Tip of Africa

We are in deep trouble

Nov 3, 2024 | Adaptation, Climate Literacy, Science

With the October 2024 data now available we are able to do this calculation:

🔥Decadal warming of 0.43°C?!🔥Comparing 17 months of the 2015-2016 and 2023-2024 El Niño cycles:

Leon Simons (@leonsimons.bsky.social) 2024-11-02T20:50:21.681Z

What does this mean?

Lets do a quick calculation: 2025 (1.5°) + 10 years (0.43°) = 2035 (1.5 + 0.43 =1.93°C)

That's right on this decadal heating trajectory we will be at ~ +1.93ºC in 2035, just 10 years from now.

It is becoming very clear that any delay in preparing as best we can for a world at 2ºC could be considered criminal neglect.

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