On January 12, 2024 Hansen et al made this prediction:
We expect record monthly temperatures to continue into mid-2024 due to the present large planetary energy imbalance, with the 12-month running-mean global temperature reaching +1.6-1.7°C relative to 1880-1920 and falling to only +1.4 ± 0.1°C during the following La Nina. Considering the large planetary energy imbalance, it will be clear that the world is passing through the 1.5°C ceiling, and is headed much higher, unless steps are taken to affect Earth’s energy imbalance
Global Warming Acceleration
On April 19th 2024 in the Berkeley Earth Dataset we passed the bottom end of their prediction:
